Nerd Geek Lab, Gartner and PwC seem to agree on a key point about the robot’s apocalypse: Artificial Intelligence will probably create more jobs. According to a recent analysis by PwC, artificial intelligence will create as many jobs as it will remove.
While algorithms and artificial intelligence are gradually eliminating existing tasks and old jobs, new jobs are being born, this is the conclusion of these studies.
Gartner’s forecasts are also bold: by 2020, AI will generate 2.3 million jobs, more than the 1.8 million eliminated, announced research firm Gartner in a report published in December 2017.
Affectionate magnates such as Billionaires Bill Gates and Elon Musk, none other than Elon Musk, claimed that robots would essentially replace humans at work. The types of Silicon Valley appear in press releases scattered about how UBI is our best asset for a fairer and more equitable future.
So-why is Gartner and PwC predicting and forecasting that artificial intelligence will create as many jobs as it destroys?
Is it just the immediate future or is there something else?
While Gartner recognizes that the manufacturing and transportation sectors will be the hardest hit, public sector services industries, such as health and education, should benefit more directly from the benefits of AI.
Lords’ robots warning us of their own inventions seem a bit sarcastic in all honesty, but even if short-term artificial intelligence prospects show rapid job creation, it is likely that this will no longer happen. We do not really know when this point will occur: the year that AI and robots eliminate more jobs than they create. I call it job-killing kill switch (ALEKS). Dramatic, I know.
Gartner remains firmly convinced that at least by 2020, ALEKS is not achieved. We did not expect this to be the case, 2020 is only two years away; a time when autonomous vehicles and the adoption of blockchain are in fashion. No AI or decentralized energy and consumption network with 3D printing or automated health system already in place
PwC admits that artificial intelligence will “displace” 38% of jobs in the transport sector and 30% of jobs in the manufacturing sector, according to their recent report. Artificial intelligence is a positive motivator until it becomes an existential risk. This is what technology companies say for years. rights.
In the health sector, for example, the RN will obviously create more jobs in an aging population and it will be absolutely necessary to follow them. According to PwC, only 12% of jobs in the health sector will be displaced by AI, while 34% will be created.
“The idea is that artificial intelligence will create as many jobs as it will eliminate when it is spread across different sectors. That is until we reach the ALEKS pivot. “
Unlike the singularity that is highly speculative, the ALEKS pivot is a time when it becomes clear that automation is ubiquitous and accelerating so rapidly that human systems cannot keep pace with change. Personally, I would tie such an event closer to the 2030 mark, while automation would just reach its acceleration level.
Artificial intelligence is not the only one responsible for this change, but an important factor.
PwC does not agree, they do not see this point happen any time soon. Our estimates suggest that artificial intelligence will not lead to technological unemployment, as we expect it to result in the displacement of around 20% of existing jobs in the United Kingdom by 2037, but create a similar number.
Gartner has more disturbing news to give, but nothing should worry us too much. Indeed, what Gartner predicts sounds like a convenience and not a terrible picture of uncertainty about the future state of work.
- By 2022, one in five workers engaged in essentially non-road tasks will rely on AI to do a job.
- Until 2022, efforts by multichannel retailers to replace their business associates through AI will be in vain, even though cashier and operator jobs will be disrupted.
- By 2021, the increase in AI will generate a commercial value of $ 2.9 trillion and will recover 6.2 billion hours of worker productivity.
Companies like Nerd Geek Lab, PwC and Gartner, like many others, typically emphasize artificial intelligence to automate everyday, repetitive tasks, while under-representing the impact of artificial intelligence on more complex, occupation-related tasks. employees. Innovation in artificial intelligence and automation, however, history will show, will work in a more mysterious way.
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